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Seoul Shares Open Sharply Lower as AI Concerns Mount Ahead of U.S. Midterm Elections

South Korean stocks fell sharply on the opening bell amid worries over AI spending and the impact of the U.S. midterm elections, sending the KOSPI down to the lowest levels since the market reopened earlier this year.

By OnPoint NowSource: en.yna.co.kr4 min read
Seoul Shares Open Sharply Lower as AI Concerns Mount Ahead of U.S. Midterm Elections
Image via en.yna.co.kr

In brief

The Korea Composite Stock Price Index opened the day on a steep decline, with major tech and industrial stocks sliding as investors weighed uncertainty over massive AI spending and the looming U.S. midterm elections. While one Yonhap report cites a 3.36% drop to 5,662.37, another records a 2.46% fall to 5,715.19. Analysts warn that potential U.S. policy changes could ripple into Korea’s technology sector and wider economy.

South Korean stocks opened sharply lower on Tuesday, with the benchmark Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) slipping as investors weighed concerns over large-scale artificial‑intelligence spending and the uncertain political climate ahead of the U.S. midterm elections.

According to one Yonhap report, the KOSPI fell 196.71 points, a 3.36 percent slide, to 5,662.37 at 9:15 a.m. “The benchmark fell sharply as investors were focused on the U.S. midterm elections on Tuesday (U.S. time).” The alternative Yonhap account, however, records a 143.89‑point decline or 2.46 percent to 5,715.19 at the opening bell.

Market bellwethers Samsung Electronics and SK hynix both fell hard, tumbling 4.59 percent and 5.10 percent respectively. Other heavyweight names in the market also posted losses: Hyundai Motor down 1.57 percent, Doosan Enerbility sank 3.77 percent, HD Hyundai Heavy Industries slipped 2.26 percent and defense group Hanwha Aerospace declined 0.81 percent.

Tech‑heavy stocks were not the only casualties. According to a separate Yonhap piece, major internet platforms Naver and Kakao dropped 1.3 percent and 1.1 percent, respectively, after announcing new AI‑related layoffs and facing increased regulatory scrutiny.

The sell‑off was attributed to worries that the rapid deployment of artificial intelligence could destabilize Korea’s economic structure, especially with investors concerned about the pace and scale of AI spending across the high‑tech sector.

Overnight, U.S. indices reflected a similarly uneasy mood. The Nasdaq Composite and the S&P 500 both closed lower by 1.07 percent and 0.51 percent, respectively, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.41 percent as investors weighed the fallout from the U.S. midterm election, which was expected to take place the following day (U.S. time).

Oil prices slipped on optimism about a possible U.S.‑Iran peace agreement, further dampening market sentiment. The Korean won was trading at 1,342.05 per U.S. dollar as of 9:15 a.m., up 3.95 won from the close of the previous session.

In the broader regional context, the U.S. midterm elections are being closely monitored across the Asia‑Pacific. Singapore‑based trade specialist Steven Okun of APAC Advisors said, in an interview with Al Jazeera, that “all of Asia‑Pacific is watching.” He added that voters “hope for enormous changes in the rest of President Donald Trump’s term.” However, he cautioned that even a Democratic‑controlled Congress may have limited power to alter Trump’s foreign‑policy agenda, especially as the U.S. remains engaged in the war on Iran.

“With Iran, I don’t see a Democrat‑controlled Congress having much change at all, other than the fact that the war will be investigated and there will be oversight hearings,” the analyst told Al Jazeera.

Okun warned that none of the region’s economies, from the Philippines to Indonesia, were immune to the shocks of the U.S.‑Israel war on Iran, especially given the region’s dependence on Gulf oil passing through the Strait of Hormuz. He noted that the war’s impact on fuel prices has drained the foreign‑exchange reserves of several low‑income economies.

The potential for stricter AI regulations in the United States following the midterm election is a source of anxiety for South Korean firms. Analysts suggest that if U.S. lawmakers tighten AI rules, the ripple effect could hit Korea’s technology industry, which is heavily reliant on U.S. chip technology and cloud services.

Despite the sharp decline at market open, the KOSPI is anticipated to stay within one percent of its opening level for the rest of the day, according to a live poll of market analysts quoted by Yonhap. The drop, it seems, represents the largest intraday slide since the market reopened earlier in the year.

Financial data on January 2, 2026, showed the market bellwether, Samsung Electronics, as the largest bidder under the Changwoo dealing room of Hana Bank in central Seoul, where the digital ticker displayed the latest market figures.

The sentiment surrounding Korea’s AI investment is notable. With the tech industry’s increased focus on AI, investors fear that abrupt adoption of AI models could lead to job losses in certain sectors, widening economic uncertainty. Reports from the Korean Finance Correspondent Kim Boram highlighted a growing mistrust regarding policy uncertainty should U.S. lawmakers enact new AI regulations.

While the risks of AI excess are under scrutiny, Korean policymakers have signaled a continued commitment to fostering a secure, competitive AI ecosystem. Despite this, the market’s reaction underscores a collective alarm over the timeline of AI integration and its cost implications. Analysts expect that the signals from U.S. elections—a potential policy reset, especially concerning trade and security—will keep Korean investors on edge longer than the current volatility episode suggests.

Market observers note that whether or not the U.S. midterm election shifts the balance of political power, the stakes are high for the Asia‑Pacific region, especially as it navigates the aftermath of the Iran conflict and ongoing trade friction with China. The alliance of investor fear, corporate layoffs, and geopolitical uncertainty could pose a drag on Korea’s ambitious technology trajectory, a scenario that the market will continue to oil in the days to come.

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