Myanmar's military chief Min Aung Hlaing has been nominated for the presidency as parliament convened on Monday, following a general election from which the biggest opposition parties were excluded.

Min Aung Hlaing is certain to be chosen, as he was nominated in parliament alongside two loyalists who are very unlikely contenders for president.

He has been sanctioned by many Western countries for leading a military coup five years ago.

In the ensuing civil war, thousands of people have been killed and millions have been displaced. Large areas of the country remain under the control of armed opposition groups.

The general elections, held between December and January, were touted by the junta as a pathway to peace. However, the vote was widely viewed as a sham, with many popular parties banned from participating and significant parts of the country shut out due to ongoing civil conflict.

The regime has rejected this criticism, maintaining that the vote was free and fair.

Around 90% of the members of Myanmar's new parliament owe their loyalty to Min Aung Hlaing, either as serving officers in the armed forces or as elected candidates for the military's own party. Discussions about the presidential choice are anticipated during the week, but Hlaing's ascension seems inevitable.

Min Aung Hlaing has long coveted the presidency; the coup that ousted the elected government led by Aung San Suu Kyi was largely motivated by the military party's poor performance in the 2020 election. However, one significant trade-off is that the constitution mandates he must relinquish command of the armed forces if he assumes the presidency. This poses risks, as discontent has been reported among senior commanders regarding his leadership.

To mitigate this, he has chosen a staunch loyalist, General Ye Win Oo, to replace him, known for his harsh treatment of dissenters. Nevertheless, the power dynamics may shift once Hlaing no longer leads the military directly.

A newly formed consultative council led by Hlaing could provide a pathway for him to maintain authority over both military and political matters. Still, analysts predict that the new administration will resemble an extension of the current military junta, continuing to suppress opposition amid ongoing violence.